Ukraine becoming a new Afghanistan?

Under Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine has turned into a new Afghanistan to the delight of Western arms manufacturers, according to former Ukrainian Prime Minister Mykola Azarov. After their withdrawal from Afghanistan, another conflict came in very “handy” for the US military industry, but Western support carries a price tag, experts say.

Lipcsey-Bidló Katalin
2023. 06. 07. 19:16
BIDEN, Joe; ZELENSZKIJ, Volodimir
Hirosima, 2023. május 21. Az ukrán elnöki sajtószolgálat által közreadott képen Volodimir Zelenszkij ukrán (b) és Joe Biden amerikai elnök kezet fog a kétoldalú megbeszélésük kezdetén a világ iparilag legfejlettebb hét államát tömörítõ csoport, a G7 háromnapos hirosimai csúcstalálkozójának zárónapján, 2023. május 21-én. MTI/EPA/Ukrán elnöki sajtószolgálat Fotó: -
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"Over the years, Ukrainian presidents have pledged to turn Ukraine into a new France or a new Switzerland. But Zelensky went further than anyone else and turned the country into a new Afghanistan, to the delight of English-speaking countries and defence companies," Mykola Azarov wrote on social media. "What do you think? Is there any chance that Washington will get bored with its 'toy' in the foreseeable future?” asked Ukraine's former prime minister in his recent post. 

 

Since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine last February, many experts have pointed out that Western arms manufacturers and the US military-industrial complex are the biggest beneficiaries.

"This is obvious, especially considering that the weapons destined for Ukraine are paid for by the US government, so manufacturers immediately make huge profits, Georg Spottle told the Hungarian daily Magyar Nemzet newspaper. The security expert also noted that this applies not only to the United States, but also to Europe. A Belgian arms manufacturer reported late last year that it had reached record high profits. "A total of 35 countries are currently helping Ukraine with weapons, with their defence industries booming, but the United States remains the largest supplier," he explained. 

Washington also announced plans to increase the volume of its arms production to maintain its own defence capabilities, as well as to support Ukraine.

After US President Joe Biden had announced billions of dollars in military aid to Ukraine, The American Conservative magazine noted last August that the president's words were a "sweet sound" to the US military industry, pointing out that 

"defense contractors shed a tear when America's war in Afghanistan eventually came to a close".

These companies collected up to half of the Pentagon’s 14 thousand billion US dollars in spending over the US military’s venture spanning two decades in Afghanistan. "But just as one protracted conflict ended, another came to the [military-industrial] complex's rescue," the paper said, referring to the war in Ukraine. They also noted that President Biden had vowed that the US will stand by Ukraine in the long term. Georg Spottle pointed out to our paper that every armed conflict brings in plenty of money, but not just for arms suppliers.

In Afghanistan, or before that in Iraq, the arms companies and companies that supplied the soldiers with food, uniforms and other items, made millions of dollars. When a war ends, these companies lose their revenue streams, so the conflict came in handy, allowing them to renew or sign nearly identical contracts with the US government. 

They don't care whether they're supplying arms to Afghanistan, Ukraine or Vietnam, the key for them is to have revenue,

he added.

Western countries, however, expect Ukraine to deliver results in return for this support. "Just  like in the case of Afghanistan, Ukraine will probably not resort to offensive military methods, but rather to terrorist methods instead, such as reconnaissance, the deployment of drones weapons, airspace incursion and infrastructure destruction. As The Telegraph concedes, Ukrainian troops are exhausted, an Kyiv is in a 'desperate state to replenish its battle-stricken military ahead of a looming counter-offensive,'" Cairo-based political analyst Ahmed Adel writes on InfoBRICS, the information portal of the BRICS countries.

"What we see now is that the Ukrainians have suffered very heavy losses in recent days. Although the US Chief of Staff has previously been very positive about the Ukrainian offensive, it doesn't appear to be successful. at the moment. The Ukrainians are in a bad position, and in my opinion it is also a possibility that they blew up the Nova Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant in order to frame the Russians and thus to extort more weapons and more support from the West," security policy expert Georg Spottle added, speaking to our paper. 

Cover photo. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Joe Biden. (Photo: MTI/EPA/Ukrainian Presidential Press Service)

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