Scientists also classify the rise in civilian and military border traffic—and the pollution that comes with it—as a war-related environmental consequence. Air pollution and CO2 emissions have surged. In the Black Sea, dolphin populations have been decimated, and 80 animal species, including bison, lynx, and brown bears, are now at risk of extinction. Fighting has led to forest fires, soil contamination, and entire swaths of deadly minefields.
Even on the Russian-controlled side of the front, environmental damage has occurred. However, just like the Crimean oil spill, documenting these incidents remains difficult. Even outside the war zone, the risk of environmental disaster is rising. According to Worschech, the movement of Russia’s shadow fleet and the deteriorating condition of its ships have significantly increased the likelihood of tanker accidents, not just near the shores of EU countries like Romania and Bulgaria but also in Turkish waters and the Baltic Sea.
At Viadrina, KIU researchers are compiling and calculating the war’s environmental impact costs. Nearly three years on after the war began, Worschech estimates total damages at 72 billion euros.
Worschech emphasizes that the war and its environmental damage directly affect Europe and the international community. The worst-case scenario, she warns, would be an accident at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, which is under Russian control. „This would be an unimaginable nuclear disaster— on a scale dwarfing the Chernobyl disaster by comparison,” she says.




















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