The goal is long-term stability
According to the expert, "both the United States and Russia appear to seek some level of long-term stability in their relationship," as dependence on China is not in their interests. Russia became reliant on China due to continuous U.S. sanctions since its 2008 intervention in Georgia. The aim now is to reverse this damaging process.
President Trump also suggested that Russia could be reinstated in the G8, as he does not view Moscow as a threat or a challenger.
On a global scale, this approach aligns with the positions of other middle and major powers. India, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and Brazil all maintain good relations with Russia, and Trump seeks to reshape U.S. foreign policy accordingly. This strategy would prevent frustrated nations like those in BRICS+ from seeking alternatives, such as a de-dollarization policy.
Riyadh could remain the hub for peace talks
Other contenders, such as Turkey, have expressed interest, but Riyadh remains the likely venue for peace talks. Turkey, as a NATO member, has complex and diverging interests, making it less suitable. The negotiating parties appear satisfied with Saudi Arabia’s role and may even see it in their interest to elevate Riyadh’s status as a stabilizing force in the Middle East,
– the expert remarked, adding:
Europe joining the talks later would be like arriving at a restaurant only to pay the bill for a lavish dinner already consumed. The first phase will involve aligning American and Russian visions of world order. The second phase will address the thorny issue of Ukraine. Only toward the end of this process will Ukraine and Europe be invited—once the foundations are set. At that point, Europe will be forced to build upon the American and Russian blueprint. Ukraine’s concerns are justified, but it likely lacks the means to alter the course of events.
The situation that's evolved on the frontline may facilitate the peace talks.
The deteriorating situation is, for now, beneficial to both the United States and Russia. This allows Washington to pressure Ukraine into compliance, while Moscow’s demands may gain legitimacy. In this context, Russia may introduce new demands, hoping that at the very least, its original objectives regarding Ukraine will be met. One thing is certain: Europe has lost all its leverage and will be forced to accept a new security architecture reminiscent of Yalta,
– the expert concluded.
Szóljon hozzá!
Jelenleg csak a hozzászólások egy kis részét látja. Hozzászóláshoz és a további kommentek megtekintéséhez lépjen be, vagy regisztráljon!