The failure of Peter Jakab to submit a list could result in fewer left-wing votes being lost in the EP elections, as Mr Jakab's voter base of around 2 percent could strengthen Peter Magyar's Tisza party and (ex-PM) Gyurcsany's coalition based on secondary preferences, as estimated by the Nezopont Institute.
Momentum (1%) and Jobbik (1%), the two parties that each secured an EP mandate five years ago, are nowhere near the five-percent threshold. Although Gabor Vona's party (3%) is ahead of them, but it cannot expect to secure any mandates either. LMP (1%) and Peter Marki-Zay's party (1%) are also far from winning any seats, the pollster said.
In terms of support for left-wing parties, there is no significant difference of likely results between a general election and a European Parliament election, if votes were cast "this Sunday". Peter Magyar's party (22%) and the DK-MSZP-Dialogue coalition (13%) would each secure only one percentage point more at Hungary's parliamentary election than in the upcoming EP elections. Of all the other left-wing parties, only MKKP (7%) would be able to secure setas independently in the Hungarian parliament, the institute has said.
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