The expert recalled that after the summit, Mr. Trump indicated that he would consult with the NATO secretary general and with Volodymyr Zelensky, but according to Mr. Castel, there is a fundamental contradiction here. “On the one hand, we expect President Trump, in that very moment, within three hours, to find the killer like Derrick. At the same time, we also expect him not to make any decisions on his own and to seek the allies’ opinion on everything. Now, those two expectations are in contradiction with each other.”
The discussion also touched on the course of the war. Mr. Castel spoke plainly:
I believe that by almost every measure, Ukraine has lost this war.
In his view, Russia’s goal was not the full occupation of Ukraine, but rather halting NATO’s eastward expansion — and that goal has been achieved. “The aim of the war, and not just this war, but of Russia’s wars or military actions in recent decades in Europe, has had one serious purpose: to prevent NATO from further expansion to the east. We saw this in Georgia, we saw this in the support for all the small separatist territories and republics, and this is what we saw in the Ukraine war as well.”
According to Mr. Castel, since NATO has failed to admit either Ukraine or Georgia, Russia has achieved its strategic objective.
“I believe that Russia has reached this goal, and Ukraine, along with the collective West or NATO, has not reached its expansionist goal in the post-Soviet sphere. From this perspective, I think Russia is currently winning.”
In conclusion, the expert declared that the significance of the Alaska summit lies not in tangible results, but in the launching of a new process.
Cover photo: Robert C. Castel in Magyar Nemzet's Rapid Extra podcast (Photo: Magyar Nemzet)
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