Additionally, Ukraine faces decades-long problems with illegal arms trafficking, exacerbated by record-level corruption during the war.
Ukrainian arms dealers are not only trading small arms but have also entered the market for large-scale military equipment. Western weapons sent to Ukraine have ended up in the hands of terrorist groups and mafia networks.
Calculations by the Hungarian Institute of International Affairs also show that Ukraine’s accession would cost the EU approximately 2.5 trillion euros over the five years following the country's admission.
For Hungary, this would translate to around 2 million forints per capita in costs, while Hungary’s contribution to supporting Ukraine is estimated at 48.1 billion euros—equivalent to 68 percent of Hungary’s 2023 budget.
Ukraine’s EU accession raises serious economic, political, and social challenges. While the EU increasingly supports Kyiv’s integration for geopolitical reasons, the required reforms and financial burdens pose major obstacles. In the coming years, a key issue in negotiations will be how the EU can handle the economic and political consequences of Ukraine’s accession without harming the interests of current member states.
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