PM Orban’s lessons for the West

In Baile Tusnad: We will fight, we will not give in to Brussels’s political and financial blackmail

Tusnádfürdõ, 2023. július 22. A Miniszterelnöki Sajtóiroda által közreadott képen Orbán Viktor kormányfõ elõadást tart a 32. Bálványosi Nyári Szabadegyetem és Diáktáborban az erdélyi Tusnádfürdõn 2023. július 22-én. Mellette Tõkés László, az Erdélyi Magyar Nemzeti Tanács (EMNT) elnöke (j). MTI/Miniszterelnöki Sajtóiroda/Benko Vivien Cher Fotó: Miniszterelnöki Sajtóiroda/Benko Vivien Cher

And Viktor Orban is absolutely right that the US has carved out a special place for itself in the world, and that is the first place position, the „gold medal”-ist, and that it is the master of the world, militarily, economically and morally. This conviction permeates the American ethos, one could say that the attachment to first place, to the dominant position, is a mentality or character trait of the United States that it cannot escape. But this also happens to be the cause of the danger, as we can see in many contexts.

Also of key importance was his reference to the fact that when conflicts of great powers have occurred in world history and the question of primacy was at stake, twelve of the sixteen cases examined ended in war, which is how the basic question of power was ultimately decided. In other words, Orban's realist view of the essential did not allow him to be dishonest to the public, and he didn't try to cover up that we are facing the possibility of a third world war.

But he also proposed a way out, again a realistic one, a way to avoid a world war, and that is a new balance between the two - or three, if we include Russia - parties, namely by acknowledging each other's existence, by accepting, to quote his words, that „there are two suns in the sky”. On this basis, they will not be marching towards war, but will try to play a win-win game, in which they seek to find forms of mutually beneficial cooperation. One thing we can be sure of – and I am adding this – is that China would certainly welcome with open arms the hand of friendship extended to it by the US. Let us not forget that the autumn of 2024 could bring major changes, for instance with the Republican candidate – who will probably be Trump – winning the US presidential elections, and that this could radically change US world politics, because Trump is not really thinking in terms of war, but in terms of maintaining his country's economic supremacy, and that is a radically different approach.

The same realistic attitude was evident in Orban's assessment of the state of the EU. He said that the EU is was a state of anxiety and felt hemmed in. But the reason for that is its own weakness, powerlessness and inability to assert its own sovereignty. It seems to be increasingly under the control of the United States and has taken a shocking position on the war.

I would add that one of the most recent, spectacularly sad signs of this is the Commission's intention to vote in favor of a four-year, $20 billion subsidy for Ukraine, which envisages permanent participation in the war. It is far from being a wise decision; rather, it is a self-destructive one. PM Orban made it clear that by cutting Russia off from European economic relations, the EU would lose its competitiveness in the global economy. Meanwhile, companies think differently: only 8.5 percent of the 1400 largest companies have pulled out of Russia. That is why the Ukrainian attack on OTP Bank is a joke.

The struggle between federalists and sovereigntists within the EU and the series of attacks on our country from Brussels are issues that cannot be ignored. PM Orban took a realistic stance when he made it clear that the sovereignist V4 countries were left alone after Brexit, and added it was one of the underlying caouses of the attacks on Hungary and Poland, disguised as a rule of law dispute. The premier has also clearly stated that Czechs have essentially defected to the liberal federalist side and that Slovakia is wavering. I would add to this that if the Social Democrat Fico returns to power in the next election, we could almost certainly be allies again in the fundamental disputes in the EU. PM Orban is optimistic, because a right-wing government has come to power in Italy. Perhaps the same will be the case in Spain after Sunday's elections, and in Austria there is growing cooperation with the Freedom Party, which is doing very well in the opinion polls and has a chance of taking part in another coalition government.

PM Orban is also confident that the 2024 European Parliament elections will allow sovereignist forces to make progress and form an alliance to provide a serious counterweight to the federalist mainstream. But he is realistic that next year's European elections are unlikely to bring a seismic shift in the balance of power.

His argument that we Hungarians insist on our own common culture, our world view, our way of life, including the gender issue, war, migration and the defense of our sovereignty, was of paramount importance. That is why we are in a struggle with the EU elite, which is visibly and obviously blackmailing us, both politically and financially, and trying to force us to fall in line, like the Czechs or the Baltic states (he gave the example of Lithuania, which has just recently withdrawn its 2012 Family Protection Act, which the Hungarian government has been using to draft its family protection measures).

He expressed what I think is the most important realistic point in the current situation: we will not compromise with the EU on the issues that are crucial for us. We will not back down and we will not give in to blackmail. We can give in on tactical, strategic issues, he said, but not on issues of historical perspective. I would add that on thing is certain: the gender issue, our peace-loving stance on war, the defense of our borders against the flood of migrants, the defense of our sovereignty and our wish for a Europe of strong nations are all issues of historical importance to us. This means that we can make concessions on the less important issues, but we must take a historic approach to the essential issues.

We have to fight, that is the only way. About that, the prime minister is absolutely right.

Cover photo: Prime Minister Viktor Orban delivering a speech in Baile Tusnad (Tudanfurdo) (Photo: Prime Minister's Press Office/Vivien Cher Benko)