The first Abrams tanks have recently arrived in Ukraine. Can these, or even the F-16 fighters, make any difference?
No. Armies cannot be built on the fly. Armies require years of investment in human capital, as well as in force design, modernization, and training.
Expectations of Ukrainian battlefield success were never realistic.
In addition, the training and advice provided by NATO were a poor fit for the warfare in Eastern Ukraine.Russian military power rests on the systematic integration of strike assets—rockets, missiles, artillery, drones, and aircraft—with space- and terrestrial-based persistent surveillance. Once Russian forces halted their advance and established a defense in depth in eastern Ukraine, the Russians’ accurate, devastating firepower began swatting the attacking Ukrainian ground and air forces like flies.






















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