Polls Show Increasing Expectation of Orban Re-Election

The share of Hungarians who expect Viktor Orban to win the April 12 parliamentary election has increased, according to the latest public opinion survey by the Nezopont Institute. At the same time, the gap has widened further between the incumbent prime minister and his current challenger, as even fewer respondents now believe in a Peter Magyar victory.

Given that there has been no significant recent shift in overall party support, Nezopont Institute data released in early January show that Fidesz has consolidated its lead over the Tisza Party. Against this backdrop, it is hardly surprising that, as election day approaches, more voters are anticipating a victory by Viktor Orban.

Methodology:
The Nezopont Institute survey was conducted between November 10–12, 2025, and January 12–14, 2026, based on telephone interviews with 1,000 respondents. The sample is representative of the population aged 18 and over by gender, age, region, type of settlement, and level of education. With a sample size of 1,000 and a 95 percent confidence level, the margin of error is ±3.16 percentage points.

               

       

       
       

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